Gap Allowance

by Vegaskid

"Any system will fail as long as it doesn't receive the necessary hits to achieve a win. You can take the Martingale for example. If you can't get a hit within your sequence of bets, you lose your bankroll. Looking at it from the other end though, if you are able to maintain a hit within the sequence of bets, you will never lose!"

Below is the bet base...

To put it simply, I am never concerned with the patterns that are coming up at the tables. What I am concerned with though is the performance of the bets I am tracking. A question might have just popped up and you are asking your self, performance of bets he is tracking? Let me explain...

When I track a particular bet, what I am looking for is the hit rate that it is achieving. Very rarely will I ever go ahead and try to flat bet because I've found that it simply is just not very practical. But when you play a negative progression, you can make a negative situation profitable.

To sum of what I've said in terms of bet selection, below are a few examples of what I am trying to get at:

Even Money Bets [Pay 1:1]

RR BBB RR BB R B R B R B R BBBBB R B

If we played the above sequence flat betting, we would have the following results:

R-1 [1 hit on red]
R-1 [1 hit on red]
R-0 [0 hit on red]
R-0 ...
R-0
R-0
R-0

How did I get those results? Well a signal to start playing would be when I see a R show up. So obviously I miss out on the first R but get a hit on any consecutive R that may show up. This also allows me to miss out on the B's. But this is no fun because it isn't very profitable!

Now, let me show you the same line again but show you what happens with a gap allowance of 1:

RR BBB RR BB R B R B R B R BBBBB R B

R-1
R-1
R-3
R-0

Notice, the results of the runs were slightly increased. Now below is a sample of the same run with a gap allowance of 2:

RR BBB RR BB R B R B R B R BBBBB R B

R-1
R-5
R-0

The runs are again, slightly bigger. Now I know that there are misses in the middle, but what we are trying to achieve are hits. Why hits? Well, to make it short, no matter what system you play, if you can't achieve the hits then you might as well not play.

Let me take you through the example with dozens [the other favorite type of bet I play].

Dozens [Pay 2:1]

3-2-2-3-2-1-3-1-1-3-1-1-2-3-2-3-3-2-3-1-3-2-1

I am going to apply gaps allowances of 2 right away since it pays 2:1

Dozen 1:
D1-4
D1-0
D1-inconclusive

Dozen 2:
D2-2
D2-1
D2-0
D2-inconclusive

Dozen 3:
D3-0
D3-0
D3-0
D3-4
D3-0

As you can see, the runs are relatively short. Now lets set the allowance for gaps of 4 and see what happens:

3-2-2-3-2-1-3-1-1-3-1-1-2-3-2-3-3-2-3-1-3-2-1

Dozen 1:
D1-4
D1-1+inconclusive

Dozen 2:
D2-1
D2-3+inconclusive

Dozen 3:
D3-8+inconclusive

After giving the two examples above, I hope that you understand what I'm trying to get at. The length of the wins are longer if you give gap allowance to be implemented. Don't think I just gave you a bet selection because I didn't. What I did give you though is a base or foundation that can be used along side with a bet selection of your choice.

Also keep in mind if there are a lot of 0 runs because you could use them potentially as reverse plays *wink wink*

Here is my actual bet selection that I use, and from this, I implement what I just told you about, the bet foundation.

I keep things very simple and while at the table, I keep the thought of chop or streak in mind. A good reason I play roulette is because there is almost always 1 even money bet either chopping or streaking. Rarely, if ever will all three even money bets be doing a combination of both.

What is a choppy trend? I consider an even money bet is in a choppy trend when it tends to not go past a streak of 3 [From my playing experience, it is usually a choppy trend that is occuring at a table]

What is a streaky trend? I consider an even money bet a streaky trend when there are either none or very very few single series in between streaks of 2 or more.

Don't be limited to just my way of bet selection. Anyone could play the bet before last, the opposite of the last or even follow the last as well as any other bet selection that is out there.

Also, in the example I gave with the dozens, you do not have to play just one dozen. You can play 2 of them at once [I personally prefer playing just 1 though since the payoff is better].

Now, moving forward I am going to tell you about the money management which is probably the easiest thing of all. The original method came with a parlay martingale which seemed pretty good. I personally didn't like it and play a more conservative progression.

What is a conservative progression? I am sure it changes from player to player in definition, but for me it means that 1 win won't recoup all the losses but a portion of them. Why would I go for only a portion? Well it is because I am using the bet foundation to try and probe for the optimal winning run and when it comes, I get my hits and I get paid. It is really simple as that.

There is no one set money management. Depending on what you are trying to play and what your gap allowance is, you vary your money management. Originally I started off using the parlay martingale as the creator suggested but moved on to a cancellation which brought great results. The only reason I switched down to a conservative progression was because it reduced the bankroll requirement even further.

All I can suggest to you is to get familiar with as many possible money management ideas as you possible can because eventually you might find one that you like over the others while playing this method. Also, any money management scheme could possibly work in any given situation.

Before I go I would like to mention that the base foundation for betting can be applied any gambling systems that are already out there.

I've seen a lot of bashing lately and wouldn't be surprised if people tried to put me down or say what I've just posted doesn't work. But as I said above, this is my only post.

Good Luck to everyone and I hope I've helped you. I send a big THANKS out to the original creator of the system, whoever he is.

If you wonder about me gambling professionally, the answer is no. I only gamble on vacations because I've found gambling has a long record of bringing negtive life qualities as compared to the positive ones.

--------------------------


Further explanation

I feel bad leaving everybody in the dark so I will tag around for the next few days and check periodically while answering any questions. The last thing I want to do is get caught up in gambling.

Session - American 0/00 Wheel

6,11,21,6,26,7,0,25,11 [marquee numbers]

DZ's w/Gap allowance = 3

DZ1-4 hits and counting
DZ2-0
DZ3-1 hit and counting

At this point I entered the game playing DS1 because it was on a streak.
Notice though that if you play DZ1 and DZ3 that you would have 6 hits and counting [keep it in mind and continue to track it]

Actual Play:

1 unit on DZ1-->14
1 unit on DZ1-->10 +1 unit
1 unit on DZ1-->1 +3 units
1 unit on DZ1-->7 +5 units
1 unit on DZ1-->15 +4 units
1 unit on DZ1-->4 +6 units
1 unit on DZ1-->32 +5 units
1 unit on DZ1-->19 +4 units
2 units on DZ1-->36 +2 units

Re-evaluate table: DZ 1 and DZ3 are still on streak, play them with a gap allowance of 1.

2 units on DZ1+DZ3-->29 +4 units
2 units on DZ1+DZ3-->32 +6 units
1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->32 +7 units
1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->3 +8 units

Take note: possible streaks on R/B bets

1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->32 +9 units
1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->29 +10 units
1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->0 +8 units
2 units on DZ1+DZ3-->9 +10 units
1 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->19 +8 units
2 unit on DZ1+DZ3-->17 +4 units

Streaks may continue, current win lengths seem good [1-3 hits] with gap allowance = 2

3 units on B-->31 +7 units
3 units on B-->00 +4 units
4 units on B-->24 +8 units
3 units on B-->6 +11 units
1 unit on B-->00 +10 units
2 units on B-->21 +8 units

Re-evaluate: R looks weak, play B straight up [if R shows up next bet though, we will play for streaks]

2 units on B-->35 +10 units
2 units on B-->0 +8 units
3 units on B-->6 +11 units
2 units on B-->22 +13 units
1 units on B-->12 +12 units
2 units on B-->4 +14 units
1 unit on B-->35 +15 units [PROFIT LOCK 10 units]

[Use casino money to try and push winning streak out until it busts using 2 step parlay martingale, 1 wins take 1/2 winnings and play with remainder units units]

2 unit on B-->29 +7 units PROFIT LOCK 1 unit [+11 units in pocket]
2 unit on B-->33 +8 units PROFIT LOCK 1 unit [+12 units in pocket]
2 unit on B-->11 +9 units PROFIT LOCK 1 unit [+13 units in pocket]
2 unit on B-->18 +6 units
6 unit on B-->30 +0 units

Walk away from the session +13 units

I was as high as +21 units during the session but I reached my goal and wanted to continue playing the current streak I was on because sometimes when you pass it up, it may be something you regret. Other times you lose the next bets right away. You win some you lose some.

This happened to be an exceptional session where the streaks I did spot and play managed to last for a fair amount of hits. A bit of luck was on my side that night. While I play one type of bet, usually there are opportunities that present themselves and if you look above, the H/L bets started off choppy, then they went streaky for a quick few hits, then they went back to choppy... did you spot that? Prime candidates to play a limited cancellation.

As seen above, there is no one single bet selection nor is there one single MM. It depends on the situations that I am able to spot and play. When I profit lock, I tend to use the parlay martingale because it slowly adds up if you do encounter a good run. If you are willing to take a few hits before profit locking again, it brings forth even more rewards, but then again, you can lose it if your luck for that particular run runs out.

Total Bankroll Brought = 100 units
Session Bankroll = 20 units

What exactly is gap allowance?

A Gap is an allowance for a miss bet opportunity. So if I say the gap allowance = 1 that means if I play black and it goes B R B, then I am still in the game because I have adapted a progression of some sort to play with it. I may just bet the same amount 2 times. But if it goes B RR B, then I missed my 2nd bet which causes me to lose. Now if my gap allowance = 2, then B RR B would be a hit still and I would continue to play and 3 misses would require me to lose making it B RRR B. A gap allowance = 3 would be able to cover this though.

You may be thinking... why not just increase your bet allowance to a high number. The answer to this is you could, but when you do, you then start to risk a lot of capital even though your risk is very minimal on losing due to a high gap allowance. By staying at a lower gap allowance, i.e. 1,2 max 3, then you are able to be more conservative with your bankroll. You will find that with a good streak and a gap allowance of 1 or 2, you will still get runs where you can win up to 30 or 40 times before you lose. These are quite rare, but streaks of wins lasting of up to 5 or 6 are very common as well.

Let me take you through one more situation:

If the gap allowance = 1 and you have a history of the table for example B/R and it looks like the following:

B-2
B-1
B-3
B-2
B-5
B-1
B-1

An idea is you might want to go for the 1 hit and then stop, wait for the run to bust, then start for 1 hit again when it comes back around. There is nothing saying that you need to play a streak out all the way. I tend to play a streak out for all it is worth because, as I said above, I get my hits and I get paid off. Which basically means when I hit that nice little streak, it pulls me into the green and by going for such low gap allowances.

The bigger the gap allowance, the longer your runs will be. But when it busts, you will need a lot of capital to bring you back.

As I explained above, a gap allowance is an allowance for a miss. If you stop after you lose 1 bet, notice your streaks are very short. When you start to allow for a miss here and there, the streaks you are on become longer and greater in number. Notice, for example, a martingale with gap allowance = 8 can go on for 200-300 wins sometimes before it goes bust. The only problem is if it busts early, you need to risk a lot more capital to get it all back whereas if you keep your allowances short [1-3] then you can wait for that run of 5-6 hits and then bring it all back plus some. Make sense?

The gap allowance is based on what you are observing at the table or according to what you are playing. It changes all the time but when I start playing, I keep my play at the current gap allowance and when it busts and I change betting styles, then I more than likely will change my gap allowance based on what I observe at the table.

To clarify the following:

B-2 [black hit and continued to hit 2 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-1[black hit and continued to hit 1 more time with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-3[black hit and continued to hit 3 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-2[black hit and continued to hit 2 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-5[black hit and continued to hit 5 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-1[black hit and continued to hit 1 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]
B-1[black hit and continued to hit 1 more times with 0 to 1 gaps in between each subsequent black hit]

Explanation is written to the side of it. I hope it helps.

As I mentioned though, don't close yourself to just performance of the table. You can apply this to system performance. I highly recommend you use low bankroll systems BTW.

Here is one example of what I mean about using the base foundation towards systems out on the market:

I got this system from another gambler a while back and it is nothing special at all, but gets the point across of how you can adapt the base foundation to systems out on the market.

The system played double streets [DS] and would put 1 unit down on the DS that just hit. IF he lost this bet, he would place 1 unit down on the last 2 DS to hit and IF he lost this bet, he would place 1 more bet down of 1 units on the last 3 DS to hit. I will label this system as X and then show you how the streaks occurred using this system X.

X-4 Got 4 hits before the bust.
X-4 Got 4 hits before the bust.
X-6 Got 6 hits before the bust.

At this point, I am noticing that the system is busting after a few wins. One idea I have is to go in and play it for a hit or two then go out. Nothing says that it won't bust on me right away though and because it only requires a 6 unit bankroll, it isn't too bad. Below are the following results after the above results:

X-5 Got 5 hits before the bust.
X-0 Busted right away.
X-2 Got 2 hits before the bust.
X-11 Got 11 hits before the bust.

You can then see the performance and see if you would like to hop in for a few or perhaps more than a few hits, then hop out. What I try to look for are the bigger numbers and hop in while they are hopefully still around. When they are small, you might want to think about playing the reverse for just 1-2 hits.

More explanations regarding examples...

Let me try to explain the concept in a different way:

As you most likely know, all systems fail at one point or another. Now, the point of failure [this is when the number of losses exceeds the gap allowance] occurs, there will be a certain amount of hits that you will have succeeded in getting.

Lets take just in general the martingale. If you play a 5 step martingale, 1-2-4-8-16, you can expect to win an average of 31 times for every failure point that occurs [in the long run] considering the game is a true 50/50 game. Now, while you play this "long run", you will encounter times you will only make 5, 17, 20, 40, 60... hits before it fails.

What the base foundation does is track the hits that are achieved before a failure point occurs in hopes to be able to identify how a particular bet or system is doing at that point in time. We can then tie this into clumps.

When a system fails right away, achieving 0 hits, that means that you will either encounter longer runs in your favor down the road or it means that you will encounter a string of hits all at once.

I am hoping that clarifies it up overall on what I'm trying to get at and what the foundation is suppose to represent.

The other use of the foundation is to be able to give you opportunity plays through knowledge of the gap allowances that are occurring and the amount if hits that one is achieving.

Below will be a session that will try to explain to you what I am doing. The spins are taken from today's Hamburg file.

Gap allowance = 1

30
19
4
4
33
5
34
1
8
33

H=1,1,0+inconclusive [inconclusive means it is still in action at the moment. 1 means that a hit occurred w/o a gap greater than 1 in between each win]
L=4+inconclusive [4 means that 4 hits occurred w/o a gap greater than 1 in between each win]

At this point, we will play L because it is the heavy favorite at the moment. The line I start with is 1 with a goal of 15 units.


19 [bet 1 unit]...lose line is now 1,1
15 [bet 2 units]...win, line is now cancelled +1
3 [bet 1 unit]...win, +2
7 [bet 1 unit]...win, +3
4 [bet 1 unit]...win, +4
17 [bet 1 unit]...win, +5
11 [bet 1 unit]...win, +6
11 [bet 1 unit]...win, +7
15 [bet 1 unit]...win, +8
6 [bet 1 unit]...win, +9
1 [bet 1 unit]...win, +10
24 [bet 1 unit]...lose, line is now 1,1
19 [bet 2 units]...lose, line is now 1,1,2

We now have had the following:
L=14
H=1,1,1,1+inconclusive

From experience, I would say we should continue to play L because H is not getting any runs on its side but what we will do is wait for L to hit because it has been a good performer at this point. Once it hits, we will play it.

5...no bet
27 [bet 2 units]...lose 1,1,2,2
9 [bet 2 units]...win, line is now 2,2
31 [bet 4 units]...lose, line is now 2,2,4
0 [bet 4 units]...lose, line is now 2,2,4,4

H=1,1,1,3+inconclusive
L=14,1

If H gets to 4, then we will start playing H because it will be showing a good run perhaps to make up for it's bad runs before [i.e. 1,1,1]. If L shows up, we will play it for only 1 hit because that is the minimum times it has shown so far. After the 1 hit, if we achieve it, we will let it play out to see what it is up to.

34...no bet, H=4+inconclusive, start playing H.
23 [4 unit bet]...win, line is now 4,4
33 [8 unit bet]...win, line is now cancelled +11
28 [1 unit bet]...win, +12
32 [1 unit bet]...win, +13
25 [1 unit bet]...win, +14
1 [1 unit bet]...lose, line is now 1,1

At this point it is a hard decision to make. H is going strong but we expect L to hit at least once. I will stick with H because it is paying off right now.

12 [2 unit bet]...lose, line is now 1,1,2

L=14,1,1+inconclusive
H=1,1,1,9 <-a high amount of hits which may mean H is going to have strong streaks. If H shows, we will play it.

2...no bet L=2
34...no bet L=2+inconclusive, H hit, play H in hopes for a long streak.
29 [2 unit bet]...win, line is now 2
23 [2 unit bet]...win, line is cancelled +15.

I've reached +15 units and would normally stop the session or gamble with just the 5 units I have. We will continue to play the cancellation with just the 5 units to see what ends up happening. If it reaches 10, we will stop play all together, if I lose it, I lose it.

Profit lock +10 units. 5 units to bet with.

22 [1 unit bet]...win, +1
28 [1 unit bet]...win, +2
2 [1 unit bet]...lose, line is now 1,1
11 [2 unit bet]...lose, line is now 1,1,2

H=6 <-on the last run
L=14,1,2,1+inconclusive.

What we can determine is low is getting a few hits after it shows, so we will wait for a bust then play it for 1 hit if it shows. If H hits we will play it right away but only for 2-3 hits because it is decreasing in strength.

17...no bet L=2
36...no bet L=2+inconclusive, H hit, play H
0 [2 unit bet]...lose, 1,1,2,2
22 [1 unit bet]...win, 1,2,2
17 [2 unit bet]...lose, 1,2,2,2 = 7 units that we had... END SESSION

It is a very hard strategy to implement and to try and make it easier to understand, I only played the H/L bets. Usually I will track the dozens, columns, and other even money bets as well.

Remember this though, if L=x,y,z where x,y,z are numbers greater than 1, then when L hits, play it for a hit or two. If x,y,z are large numbers, play it until it loses. If x,y,z are very low numbers or even 0's, you may want to consider playing the opposite of L or H.

The idea is to be able to spot the performance and hop in at the best possible moments. Sometimes you play for 1 hit and other times you play until the streak runs out.

After typing this up, I can see how it is quite confusing and especially when you have the choices of playing L for 1 hit but you are currently on H because it is having a good run...etc. Just use the performance as indicators.

Updates

While using these updates with my approach that was posted I've been able to do better than before.

UPDATED MATERIAL

col 1 - FTL
col 2 - OOL
col 3 - Player
col 4 - banker
col 5 - BBFL
col 6 - BOOL
(Banker/Player - on the very left hand column)

b L L L W
b W L L W
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
b W L L W L W
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
b W L L W L W
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
b W L L W L W
b W L L W W L
p L W W L L W
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
b W L L W L W
b W L L W W L
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
p W L W L L W
p W L W L W L
b L W L W L W
b W L L W L W
b W L L W W L
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
b W L L W L W
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
p W L W L W L
p W L W L W L
b L W L W L W
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
p L W W L W L
p W L W L L W
b L W L W L W
p L W W L W L
b L W L W W L
b W L L W L W
b W L L W W L
p L W W L L W
p W L W L L W
Winning Runs - aka gap allowance + updates
FTL follow the last
OOL opposite of last
P player
B banker
BBFL bet before last
BOOL bet opposite of last

What you see above is very simply a layout of what my card looks like while I'm playing. In this particular case it is baccarat. At the bottom of the chart lies the bet selections [which can be changed accordingly - up to the player].

To explain briefly what you see above are three ways a player can track a table [three of perhaps hundreds]. Now what we notice is that instead of an X, I put a W and if it didn't win there is an L. To keep it simple, from last time I explained my theory of gap allowance and how it can enable a player to make appropriate plays giving that they know how the performance of an event is doing.

Pending on the gap allowance you set for the method you play or chose to play, you are able to track the method and may stay on the same bet selection for however long your gap allowance doesn't bust. Meanwhile, you can notice other bet selections and see if their gap allowance is smaller than yours [thus achieving a higher hit rate than you are currently getting].

What about money management?
From what I've learned, a gambler needs to have a foundation in money management schemes and be able to take any pattern and play against it the best they can. I recommend that you press on a good streak and lay low on a losing one - the way I play if I can't achieve more wins than losses through flat betting. I've taken a liking to three up as you win strategies in particular, the parlay, reverse cancellation, and conservative/mild progression.

What have I learned?
While studying gambling and gambling itself is that it is NOT a way to live and shouldn't be something that is to be taken lightly if you do chose to take the risk. This weekend, for example, I saw a player lose over 24,000 dollars at the baccarat table because he used a grand martingale while guessing where to place his next bet [had no bet selection at all]. From testing systems, thus far, I haven't found a mechanical system that works thus the reason why tracking various bet selections at one times helps out. By enabling myself to see which ones are winning, I can switch appropriately to the better bet selection.

ALSO KEEP YOUR EYES OPEN ESPECIALLY AT THE BACCARAT TABLE!!!
Because of the simplicity of baccarat [only having 2 main bets... player banker] you can easily see which players are winning a lot of bets versus losing a lot of bets. It makes your job easier because all you have to do is either follow them or bet against them [I've found that I've been doing this more and more. When the player does not bet because they are either uncertain or their personal method says not to bet, I bet according to my own method].

First you want to just track to see how the table is doing with a particular strategy and then adapt to it as best you can. When I go into the casino these days, I use a gap allowance of 1 to 2 [max]. You'd be surprised at how a simple gap allowance can put you on a great streak here and there.

In terms of gap allowance, it is just a period in which you allow for X amount of misses. If the current misses are greater than what you specified for X, then you stop playing and either way for a signal to play [such as a hit or double series etc...] and resume play once again.

To help you get a feel for it, here is one shoe I played while I was in Las Vegas. I used a basic cancellation system to go along with my strategy while only aiming to win 4-5 units.

NOTE: [I never aim too high because 4-5 units can get me by for a session... and often you will find that I will play a session, cash in my chips for cash, then go ahead and play another session right away... I have no logic or reason why I do this, it is just habit to get me away from the table for a moment to think if there is anything else I want to do].

In the below example, I allowed for a gap allowance of 1 and played only player and banker. My entry point is either waiting for a WLW, WWW, or WWLW... I don't know why I came up with those, perhaps it is because I hate it when the table ends up doing the WWLLWWLLWWLL [which would wipe me out].

Live shoe played at Gold Coast Casino
BB
PPP <- this was an entry point for me...
B 1 to start... 1,1 <-lost my bet
PPPPP 1,1 --> bet 2 and won, +1 unit...
I also won the next 4 bets to follow which put me at my +5 goal.
I went to cash in and came back to the table 9 hands later....
B
PP
BB
P
B
PP [at this point, player is still within only 1 miss] PP
I won my first 2 bets again right away... +2
BBB 1 to start... L ->1,1... L -> 1,1,2 [waiting for entry point]
P
B
P Entry point established [PBP or WLW] PP
W -> 1... W->+1 now I am at +3
B L -> 1,1
P W -> +1 now I am at +4
B L -> 1,1
PPPP W ->+1 now I am at +5... I went to the cashiers cage and
cashed out, came back and recorded the rest of the shoe...
B
P
B
P
BBBBB
P
BBBB
P
BB
PPP
B
PP
BB
P
B
P
BBB
P
B
PP

Now, the updated version is what makes this actually work even better in terms of finding a great streak. You can put WHATEVER you want in terms of bet selection down and you will see simple selections unfold before your very eyes. I currently am testing the basic bet selections when I go to Las Vegas, but as I come across better ones from either reading on the boards or other people's personal bet selections, I will use them instead of the basic strategies because they might prove to streak better or what-have-you.

An example is in the shoe above. Lets say our bet selection is to play 2 hands after EVERY 3 series we encounter. This means a 5 or higher series will get us to bust. If we put that simple bet selection against our chart above, you will notice the following Win Loss record.... [we will assume no entry point establishing due to the length of time it takes to get a 3 series to occur]

WLL <-1 busted series here
LWWWLWLL <-2 busted series here
LWWW [end of shoe]...

1 more win than loss which isn't great but you can see how it does with a simple bet selection...

Often when you have multiple bet selections being written down, you will notice when one is going WWWWWWWLWWWW... that is the one you want to try and hop on as it is going. The longest I've come across with allowing a gap allowance of only 1 was a awesome 23 hands [not 23 wins because there was losses scattered between the wins but 23 hands were played on just one streak before a bust].

What you will also notice is that when you allow the gap allowance to be bigger, you will hit longer playing streaks which will allow you to change up the MM to adapt to it."

Vegaskid