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OnLine Casino of the Month

================================================
Thursday, June 17, 2004
Experimental Progressions for Even Bets
Hello
everyone,
I didn't write a newsletter for about a
month now. I have been away on an excursion trip in Russia and visited
many interesting places. A friend asked me if I gambled in Moscow.
There are about 60 casinos there and I first went to the Metropol casino in
the city centre right across the Bolshoi theatre. To my amazement,
they asked for a $500 entry fee, because I was a foreigner. I replied
that they will never be able to attract visitors this way and went off
without entering. Who knows, maybe they recognized me... Of
course, one can find casinos with no entry fees, particularly if one goes
together with a local citizen and I did take advantage of some in the last 3
days of my visit, the profits of which covered the expenses of the trip.
One can get 30 Rubles for $1, making you feel you've got lots of bankroll.
IBS and a new strategy I have been perfecting did very
well.
Now to the main subject of this
newsletter. I came across an interesting post by Bob M. in one of the
discussion forums. He's been using a progression on preselected
random decisions  a strategy I posted in the
newsletter of September 13, 2001,
with which he had lots of success. Bob had modified the 5 step
Martingale progression into some kind of a modified d'Alembert.
Following was his post:
"For one of the progression bets that
made me some cash check out the "Even Bets System" thread.
Here is another that I tried in 4 casinos in a row and it consistently
showed a profit.
Normally I have a preset of R/B bets on a chart I follow. I did this with a
Martingale which netted me $100. Using that money, I decided to use the
chart once again with the listed progression. Won again through the
series. Having cash, I decided to experiment just betting the last spin.
Table was qualified by noting that there were several series of runs of
Red/Black. If the table has too much zigzag, this could be a tough grind.
As a side note, the dealer said that is the best bet system he's seen in a
month, moneymaking wise, which I shall assume is the combo of of the two as
it was the same dealer who was spinning when I bought in and colored out.
Follow the previous spin. Lose  go up 3 units. Win  go down 2
units. Two wins in a row  go down 5 units. Keep going down 5 units on
subsequent win until base bet is reached. Stay at base bet until a loss.
Then reprogress upward. Stop loss on $5 bets is $27. If that high regress to
$15 bets and continue as normal. Stop loss on $10 bets is $56. Started
playing for $5 per bet."
I have tried this strategy and indeed it
has merit. I have run some tests and came up with my version of it,
having built an Excel spreadsheet, that lets me experiment with different
increments and decrements on wins and losses, charting the final results on
a Baccarat shoe. The spreadsheet takes into account also the
commissions paid on Banker decision wins.
The spreadsheet takes as input the
following 3 parameters:
1) the initial betting amount in terms of
units or dollars;
2) the increment on a loss (how much to increase your bet if it loses)
3) the decrement on a win (how much to decrease your bet if it wins)
Setting the initial betting amount in a
midrange, rather than 1 unit has an advantage over it. A win followed
by a loss, will produce a profit. So will a loss followed by a win.
If you start with 1 unit and don't reduce your bet after you win, a loss
followed by a win will break even instead of gaining 1 unit. That's
why, it's advantageous to start with say 10 or 20 units, a parameter you can
change in the spreadsheet. Then you can move to either direction on a
loss or on a win.
The spreadsheet automates a Baccarat shoe
of 80 decisions. Entering the 3 above parameters will let you know how
the system will perform and you can find the ideal entries to produce long
term profits with proper money management. If you send me $10 by
PayPal to
webmaster@letstalkwinning.com, I will email you the spreadsheet.
You can also pay by credit card by simply filling out the secure order form
at:
/order/ with your credit card information and
a little note specifying that you're interested in the "Experimental
Progression for Even Bets".
Here are some highlights of the
spreadsheet. As Bob's strategy, it follows the last decision.
Baccarat is quite a streaky game. Even if it may zigzag at times
between Player and Banker decisions, you are very likely to encounter many
shoes with lots of streaks or repeating Player and Banker decisions.
You bet on every decision within the shoe, except the very first one, where
you observe the decision and bet on the same one on the following bet:
Setting the initial betting amount to 20,
the increment on a loss to 3, the decrement on a win to 2, you can see in
the following chart how the system would perform on a random shoe:
Hand 
Player / Banker 
Bet on 
W/L 
Bet 
Cash 
Net 
1 
B 





2 
B 
B 
W 
20 
19 
19 
3 
P 
B 
L 
18 
18 
1 
4 
P 
P 
W 
21 
21 
22 
5 
P 
P 
W 
19 
19 
41 
6 
B 
P 
L 
17 
17 
24 
7 
B 
B 
W 
20 
19 
43 
8 
P 
B 
L 
18 
18 
25 
9 
P 
P 
W 
21 
21 
46 
10 
P 
P 
W 
19 
19 
65 
11 
P 
P 
W 
17 
17 
82 
12 
P 
P 
W 
15 
15 
97 
13 
B 
P 
L 
13 
13 
84 
14 
B 
B 
W 
16 
15.2 
99.2 
15 
B 
B 
W 
14 
13.3 
112.5 
16 
B 
B 
W 
12 
11.4 
123.9 
17 
P 
B 
L 
10 
10 
113.9 
18 
B 
P 
L 
13 
13 
100.9 
19 
P 
B 
L 
16 
16 
84.9 
20 
P 
P 
W 
19 
19 
103.9 
21 
P 
P 
W 
17 
17 
120.9 
22 
B 
P 
L 
15 
15 
105.9 
23 
B 
B 
W 
18 
17.1 
123 
24 
P 
B 
L 
16 
16 
107 
25 
P 
P 
W 
19 
19 
126 
26 
B 
P 
L 
17 
17 
109 
27 
P 
B 
L 
20 
20 
89 
28 
B 
P 
L 
23 
23 
66 
29 
B 
B 
W 
26 
24.7 
90.7 
30 
B 
B 
W 
24 
22.8 
113.5 
31 
B 
B 
W 
22 
20.9 
134.4 
32 
P 
B 
L 
20 
20 
114.4 
33 
B 
P 
L 
23 
23 
91.4 
34 
P 
B 
L 
26 
26 
65.4 
35 
P 
P 
W 
29 
29 
94.4 
36 
B 
P 
L 
27 
27 
67.4 
37 
B 
B 
W 
30 
28.5 
95.9 
38 
P 
B 
L 
28 
28 
67.9 
39 
B 
P 
L 
31 
31 
36.9 
40 
P 
B 
L 
34 
34 
2.9 
41 
P 
P 
W 
37 
37 
39.9 
42 
P 
P 
W 
35 
35 
74.9 
43 
B 
P 
L 
33 
33 
41.9 
44 
B 
B 
W 
36 
34.2 
76.1 
45 
B 
B 
W 
34 
32.3 
108.4 
46 
B 
B 
W 
32 
30.4 
138.8 
47 
P 
B 
L 
30 
30 
108.8 
48 
P 
P 
W 
33 
33 
141.8 
49 
B 
P 
L 
31 
31 
110.8 
50 
B 
B 
W 
34 
32.3 
143.1 
51 
P 
B 
L 
32 
32 
111.1 
52 
P 
P 
W 
35 
35 
146.1 
53 
P 
P 
W 
33 
33 
179.1 
54 
B 
P 
L 
31 
31 
148.1 
55 
B 
B 
W 
34 
32.3 
180.4 
56 
P 
B 
L 
32 
32 
148.4 
57 
B 
P 
L 
35 
35 
113.4 
58 
P 
B 
L 
38 
38 
75.4 
59 
P 
P 
W 
41 
41 
116.4 
60 
P 
P 
W 
39 
39 
155.4 
61 
B 
P 
L 
37 
37 
118.4 
62 
B 
B 
W 
40 
38 
156.4 
63 
P 
B 
L 
38 
38 
118.4 
64 
B 
P 
L 
41 
41 
77.4 
65 
P 
B 
L 
44 
44 
33.4 
66 
B 
P 
L 
47 
47 
13.6 
67 
B 
B 
W 
50 
47.5 
33.9 
68 
B 
B 
W 
48 
45.6 
79.5 
69 
B 
B 
W 
46 
43.7 
123.2 
70 
P 
B 
L 
44 
44 
79.2 
71 
B 
P 
L 
47 
47 
32.2 
72 
P 
B 
L 
50 
50 
17.8 
73 
B 
P 
L 
53 
53 
70.8 
74 
P 
B 
L 
56 
56 
126.8 
75 
P 
P 
W 
59 
59 
67.8 
76 
B 
P 
L 
57 
57 
124.8 
77 
B 
B 
W 
60 
57 
67.8 
78 
B 
B 
W 
58 
55.1 
12.7 
79 
P 
B 
L 
56 
56 
68.7 
80 
B 
P 
L 
59 
59 
127.7 
It is highly recommended to set a stop
win, say at 100 units for this particular case. This is already
reached at hand 15. If you would continue with the shoe, profits and
losses fluctuate. So, quitting positively is quite important. As
you can see, the shoe ends at 127.7. And you have many opportunities
to quit at around 100 units (hand 30, hand 45, hand 69, etc.). This is
what we mean with money management.
In case you don't reach +100 units, you
would then quit the shoe at its end, as is the case in the following shoe:
Hand 
Player / Banker 
Bet on 
W/L 
Bet 
Cash 
Net 
1 
P 





2 
P 
P 
W 
20 
20 
20 
3 
B 
P 
L 
18 
18 
2 
4 
P 
B 
L 
21 
21 
19 
5 
B 
P 
L 
24 
24 
43 
6 
P 
B 
L 
27 
27 
70 
7 
P 
P 
W 
30 
30 
40 
8 
P 
P 
W 
28 
28 
12 
9 
B 
P 
L 
26 
26 
38 
10 
B 
B 
W 
29 
27.55 
10.45 
11 
B 
B 
W 
27 
25.65 
15.2 
12 
B 
B 
W 
25 
23.75 
38.95 
13 
P 
B 
L 
23 
23 
15.95 
14 
P 
P 
W 
26 
26 
41.95 
15 
P 
P 
W 
24 
24 
65.95 
16 
B 
P 
L 
22 
22 
43.95 
17 
P 
B 
L 
25 
25 
18.95 
18 
B 
P 
L 
28 
28 
9.05 
19 
P 
B 
L 
31 
31 
40.05 
20 
P 
P 
W 
34 
34 
6.05 
21 
B 
P 
L 
32 
32 
38.05 
22 
B 
B 
W 
35 
33.25 
4.8 
23 
B 
B 
W 
33 
31.35 
26.55 
24 
B 
B 
W 
31 
29.45 
56 
25 
P 
B 
L 
29 
29 
27 
26 
B 
P 
L 
32 
32 
5 
27 
P 
B 
L 
35 
35 
40 
28 
P 
P 
W 
38 
38 
2 
29 
B 
P 
L 
36 
36 
38 
30 
P 
B 
L 
39 
39 
77 
31 
P 
P 
W 
42 
42 
35 
32 
B 
P 
L 
40 
40 
75 
33 
B 
B 
W 
43 
40.85 
34.15 
34 
B 
B 
W 
41 
38.95 
4.8 
35 
P 
B 
L 
39 
39 
34.2 
36 
B 
P 
L 
42 
42 
76.2 
37 
B 
B 
W 
45 
42.75 
33.45 
38 
P 
B 
L 
43 
43 
76.45 
39 
B 
P 
L 
46 
46 
122.45 
40 
B 
B 
W 
49 
46.55 
75.9 
41 
B 
B 
W 
47 
44.65 
31.25 
42 
P 
B 
L 
45 
45 
76.25 
43 
B 
P 
L 
48 
48 
124.25 
44 
P 
B 
L 
51 
51 
175.25 
45 
P 
P 
W 
54 
54 
121.25 
46 
P 
P 
W 
52 
52 
69.25 
47 
B 
P 
L 
50 
50 
119.25 
48 
P 
B 
L 
53 
53 
172.25 
49 
P 
P 
W 
56 
56 
116.25 
50 
B 
P 
L 
54 
54 
170.25 
51 
B 
B 
W 
57 
54.15 
116.1 
52 
P 
B 
L 
55 
55 
171.1 
53 
P 
P 
W 
58 
58 
113.1 
54 
P 
P 
W 
56 
56 
57.1 
55 
B 
P 
L 
54 
54 
111.1 
56 
B 
B 
W 
57 
54.15 
56.95 
57 
B 
B 
W 
55 
52.25 
4.7 
58 
P 
B 
L 
53 
53 
57.7 
59 
P 
P 
W 
56 
56 
1.7 
60 
B 
P 
L 
54 
54 
55.7 
61 
P 
B 
L 
57 
57 
112.7 
62 
B 
P 
L 
60 
60 
172.7 
63 
B 
B 
W 
63 
59.85 
112.85 
64 
B 
B 
W 
61 
57.95 
54.9 
65 
B 
B 
W 
59 
56.05 
1.15 
66 
P 
B 
L 
57 
57 
55.85 
67 
P 
P 
W 
60 
60 
4.15 
68 
B 
P 
L 
58 
58 
53.85 
69 
P 
B 
L 
61 
61 
114.85 
70 
P 
P 
W 
64 
64 
50.85 
71 
B 
P 
L 
62 
62 
112.85 
72 
B 
B 
W 
65 
61.75 
51.1 
73 
P 
B 
L 
63 
63 
114.1 
74 
P 
P 
W 
66 
66 
48.1 
75 
B 
P 
L 
64 
64 
112.1 
76 
B 
B 
W 
67 
63.65 
48.45 
77 
B 
B 
W 
65 
61.75 
13.3 
78 
P 
B 
L 
63 
63 
49.7 
79 
P 
P 
W 
66 
66 
16.3 
80 
P 
P 
W 
64 
64 
80.3 
So, you quit at 80.3 units, which is
quite decent, too.
Now, we need to clarify the term "unit".
On regular circumstances, one would define a unit to be the minimum bet
amount. For instance, if the minimum bet is $20, that would be your
unit value. This is not necessarily the case in this system.
Starting with 20 units, doesn't mean you should be betting $400 if the
minimum bet is $20. You can set your unit value to be say $5.
Therefore, 20 units would mean $100 bet. The highest bet in the above
chart was 67 units, or $5 X 67 = $335. If, for instance, the system
would require to bet 10 units after having won some initial bets, this would
mean a $50 bet, which is OK for a $20 minimum table. Normally, a $20
minimum table can go up to $1000 maximum and even higher in some casinos.
As stated above, you can experiment with
different values of initial bet and different increments and decrements.
Here is another example, where we set the
initial betting value to be 100, the increment on a loss to be 5 and the
decrement on a win to be 3:
Hand 
Player / Banker 
Bet on 
W/L 
Bet 
Cash 
Net 
1 
P 





2 
B 
P 
L 
100 
100 
100 
3 
P 
B 
L 
105 
105 
205 
4 
P 
P 
W 
110 
110 
95 
5 
P 
P 
W 
107 
107 
12 
6 
P 
P 
W 
104 
104 
116 
7 
P 
P 
W 
101 
101 
217 
8 
P 
P 
W 
98 
98 
315 
9 
P 
P 
W 
95 
95 
410 
10 
B 
P 
L 
92 
92 
318 
11 
B 
B 
W 
97 
92.15 
410.15 
12 
B 
B 
W 
94 
89.3 
499.45 
13 
P 
B 
L 
91 
91 
408.45 
14 
B 
P 
L 
96 
96 
312.45 
15 
P 
B 
L 
101 
101 
211.45 
16 
P 
P 
W 
106 
106 
317.45 
17 
B 
P 
L 
103 
103 
214.45 
18 
P 
B 
L 
108 
108 
106.45 
19 
B 
P 
L 
113 
113 
6.55 
20 
P 
B 
L 
118 
118 
124.55 
21 
P 
P 
W 
123 
123 
1.55 
22 
P 
P 
W 
120 
120 
118.45 
23 
P 
P 
W 
117 
117 
235.45 
24 
P 
P 
W 
114 
114 
349.45 
25 
P 
P 
W 
111 
111 
460.45 
26 
P 
P 
W 
108 
108 
568.45 
27 
P 
P 
W 
105 
105 
673.45 
28 
P 
P 
W 
102 
102 
775.45 
29 
P 
P 
W 
99 
99 
874.45 
30 
P 
P 
W 
96 
96 
970.45 
31 
P 
P 
W 
93 
93 
1063.5 
32 
B 
P 
L 
90 
90 
973.45 
33 
P 
B 
L 
95 
95 
878.45 
34 
B 
P 
L 
100 
100 
778.45 
35 
P 
B 
L 
105 
105 
673.45 
36 
P 
P 
W 
110 
110 
783.45 
37 
B 
P 
L 
107 
107 
676.45 
38 
B 
B 
W 
112 
106.4 
782.85 
39 
P 
B 
L 
109 
109 
673.85 
40 
P 
P 
W 
114 
114 
787.85 
41 
B 
P 
L 
111 
111 
676.85 
42 
P 
B 
L 
116 
116 
560.85 
43 
P 
P 
W 
121 
121 
681.85 
44 
P 
P 
W 
118 
118 
799.85 
45 
B 
P 
L 
115 
115 
684.85 
46 
B 
B 
W 
120 
114 
798.85 
47 
P 
B 
L 
117 
117 
681.85 
48 
B 
P 
L 
122 
122 
559.85 
49 
B 
B 
W 
127 
120.7 
680.5 
50 
P 
B 
L 
124 
124 
556.5 
51 
P 
P 
W 
129 
129 
685.5 
52 
B 
P 
L 
126 
126 
559.5 
53 
P 
B 
L 
131 
131 
428.5 
54 
P 
P 
W 
136 
136 
564.5 
55 
B 
P 
L 
133 
133 
431.5 
56 
B 
B 
W 
138 
131.1 
562.6 
57 
B 
B 
W 
135 
128.3 
690.85 
58 
B 
B 
W 
132 
125.4 
816.25 
59 
P 
B 
L 
129 
129 
687.25 
60 
P 
P 
W 
134 
134 
821.25 
61 
B 
P 
L 
131 
131 
690.25 
62 
B 
B 
W 
136 
129.2 
819.45 
63 
B 
B 
W 
133 
126.4 
945.8 
64 
P 
B 
L 
130 
130 
815.8 
65 
B 
P 
L 
135 
135 
680.8 
66 
P 
B 
L 
140 
140 
540.8 
67 
B 
P 
L 
145 
145 
395.8 
68 
P 
B 
L 
150 
150 
245.8 
69 
P 
P 
W 
155 
155 
400.8 
70 
B 
P 
L 
152 
152 
248.8 
71 
P 
B 
L 
157 
157 
91.8 
72 
B 
P 
L 
162 
162 
70.2 
73 
P 
B 
L 
167 
167 
237.2 
74 
B 
P 
L 
172 
172 
409.2 
75 
P 
B 
L 
177 
177 
586.2 
76 
P 
P 
W 
182 
182 
404.2 
77 
P 
P 
W 
179 
179 
225.2 
78 
P 
P 
W 
176 
176 
49.2 
79 
B 
P 
L 
173 
173 
222.2 
80 
B 
B 
W 
178 
169.1 
53.1 
where you will find by experimenting,
that the ideal stop win value to be at +500. This is reached at hand
26. Much better than ending the shoe at 53.1 In this chart, you
would be setting your unit value to be $1, so 100 units would mean a $100
bet. Your betting amounts fluctuate between $91 and $123 before you
reach your +$500 target. This is indeed much better than a steep
Martingale progression.
You will find many shoes reaching the
+500 unit target.
Here is another example, where the
initial bet is set to 10 units, the decrement on a win to 1 unit and the
increment on a loss to 2 units:
Hand 
Player / Banker 
Bet on 
W/L 
Bet 
Cash 
Net 
1 
P 





2 
P 
P 
W 
10 
10 
10 
3 
B 
P 
L 
9 
9 
1 
4 
B 
B 
W 
11 
10.45 
11.45 
5 
P 
B 
L 
10 
10 
1.45 
6 
P 
P 
W 
12 
12 
13.45 
7 
P 
P 
W 
11 
11 
24.45 
8 
P 
P 
W 
10 
10 
34.45 
9 
B 
P 
L 
9 
9 
25.45 
10 
P 
B 
L 
11 
11 
14.45 
11 
P 
P 
W 
13 
13 
27.45 
12 
P 
P 
W 
12 
12 
39.45 
13 
B 
P 
L 
11 
11 
28.45 
14 
P 
B 
L 
13 
13 
15.45 
15 
P 
P 
W 
15 
15 
30.45 
16 
B 
P 
L 
14 
14 
16.45 
17 
B 
B 
W 
16 
15.2 
31.65 
18 
B 
B 
W 
15 
14.25 
45.9 
19 
B 
B 
W 
14 
13.3 
59.2 
20 
P 
B 
L 
13 
13 
46.2 
21 
B 
P 
L 
15 
15 
31.2 
22 
P 
B 
L 
17 
17 
14.2 
23 
P 
P 
W 
19 
19 
33.2 
24 
B 
P 
L 
18 
18 
15.2 
25 
P 
B 
L 
20 
20 
4.8 
26 
B 
P 
L 
22 
22 
26.8 
27 
B 
B 
W 
24 
22.8 
4 
28 
P 
B 
L 
23 
23 
27 
29 
P 
P 
W 
25 
25 
2 
30 
P 
P 
W 
24 
24 
22 
31 
P 
P 
W 
23 
23 
45 
32 
P 
P 
W 
22 
22 
67 
33 
P 
P 
W 
21 
21 
88 
34 
P 
P 
W 
20 
20 
108 
35 
B 
P 
L 
19 
19 
89 
36 
P 
B 
L 
21 
21 
68 
37 
P 
P 
W 
23 
23 
91 
38 
P 
P 
W 
22 
22 
113 
39 
B 
P 
L 
21 
21 
92 
40 
P 
B 
L 
23 
23 
69 
41 
B 
P 
L 
25 
25 
44 
42 
B 
B 
W 
27 
25.65 
69.65 
43 
P 
B 
L 
26 
26 
43.65 
44 
B 
P 
L 
28 
28 
15.65 
45 
P 
B 
L 
30 
30 
14.35 
46 
P 
P 
W 
32 
32 
17.65 
47 
B 
P 
L 
31 
31 
13.35 
48 
P 
B 
L 
33 
33 
46.35 
49 
P 
P 
W 
35 
35 
11.35 
50 
P 
P 
W 
34 
34 
22.65 
51 
P 
P 
W 
33 
33 
55.65 
52 
B 
P 
L 
32 
32 
23.65 
53 
B 
B 
W 
34 
32.3 
55.95 
54 
B 
B 
W 
33 
31.35 
87.3 
55 
P 
B 
L 
32 
32 
55.3 
56 
B 
P 
L 
34 
34 
21.3 
57 
B 
B 
W 
36 
34.2 
55.5 
58 
B 
B 
W 
35 
33.25 
88.75 
59 
P 
B 
L 
34 
34 
54.75 
60 
B 
P 
L 
36 
36 
18.75 
61 
B 
B 
W 
38 
36.1 
54.85 
62 
B 
B 
W 
37 
35.15 
90 
63 
B 
B 
W 
36 
34.2 
124.2 
64 
P 
B 
L 
35 
35 
89.2 
65 
B 
P 
L 
37 
37 
52.2 
66 
P 
B 
L 
39 
39 
13.2 
67 
B 
P 
L 
41 
41 
27.8 
68 
B 
B 
W 
43 
40.85 
13.05 
69 
B 
B 
W 
42 
39.9 
52.95 
70 
B 
B 
W 
41 
38.95 
91.9 
71 
B 
B 
W 
40 
38 
129.9 
72 
B 
B 
W 
39 
37.05 
166.95 
73 
B 
B 
W 
38 
36.1 
203.05 
74 
P 
B 
L 
37 
37 
166.05 
75 
P 
P 
W 
39 
39 
205.05 
76 
P 
P 
W 
38 
38 
243.05 
77 
P 
P 
W 
37 
37 
280.05 
78 
B 
P 
L 
36 
36 
244.05 
79 
P 
B 
L 
38 
38 
206.05 
80 
B 
P 
L 
40 
40 
166.05 
If your table minimum bet is $20, your
unit value will be about $3. So betting 10 units will result in a $30
bet, the minimum of 9 units will be $27 and the maximum of 43 units (hand
68) will mean a $129 bet, which complies to the table's minimum and maximum
bet limits.
There are lots of parameters you can
experiment with. It's highly recommended to get the spreadsheet to see
for yourselves and set the ideal entries to produce the highest profits
within the table limits. For only $30, it's a worthwhile investment.
Click
here
to order.
Thank you,
Izak Matatya
By the way,
Omni Casino was just awarded "Casino of the Year" by the readers of the most
prestigious magazine in the Gaming Industry, Casino Player! The issue will
be out shortly on
newsstands across the US. After you acquire this strategy for only
$30, you should give it a shot at this great online casino.
Click below to open an account at
Omni
Casino:
Wishing you all the best,
Until
next week,
Izak
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