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December 14, 2010
(If this newsletter is truncated for any reason, please access it from the web at: http://www.letstalkwinning.com/winalert_December14_2010.htm)
Dear Let's Talk Winning customers and newsletter subscribers,
Before we talk about this month's free gambling system, I would like to wish you all happy holidays and season's greetings.
A super holiday special is in effect. For any system you purchase from now until midnight January 30, 2011, you can have a second system (the less expensive one) totally free. You can place your orders either by PayPal to my id: firstname.lastname@example.org and specifying the systems you're interested in with your payment, or simply fill in the secure purchase order form at: /order/ by clicking on two items and you will be charged only for one of them (with the higher price) manually.
And now December 2010's free system:
At any even bet game, some people tend to bet the same as last decision and hope to gain some winning bets. If the table is streaky, this could be a good option, but when the table turns choppy, then this option does not win on the long run. You could be lucky to break even.
From the other perspective, some people tend to bet the opposite of last decision. Likewise, if the table is choppy, that could produce some units, until the table turns streaky, then the profits are returned back.
Neither of the options is a long term winner.
My observations show that as the game progresses, the number of "sames" and "opposites" tend to get close to each other. With our SODB system, we will take advantage of this feature and as the number of same as last decisions and the opposite of last decisions get close to each other, we will be making lots of profits.
As a matter of fact, if, say, so far we had 7 sames and 7 opposites, the system will generate 14 units, as opposed to generating 0 units should one bet only on sames or only on opposites.
If we had, say, 6 sames and 8 opposites, for instance, the system will still generate profits.
How is this achieved? Simply by using differential betting on sames and opposites, thus implying the name of the system: SODB (Sames and Opposites using Differential Betting).
Thus we will be betting on sames and opposites at the same time, simultaneously, using the difference of the bets.
The very first bet is neutral, since placing 1 unit on an even bet and 1 unit on its opposite cancels the bet, thus this will be a virtual bet.
We do, however, take note of which side has won. If Same wins, (that is the winning bet was the same as last decision), we decrease the bet on "Same" by 1 unit and increase the bet on "Opposite" (the opposite of last decision) by 1 unit. Therefore, the difference of the bets becomes 2 units, betting on Opposite.
If now "Opposite" (the opposite of last decision) wins, we have gained 2 units, since we were placing a 2 unit bet on opposite.
So, Same came once, Opposite came once, we are ahead by 2 units.
Let's take a scenario where we have 2 Sames and 2 Opposites.
First bet is virtual, thus no bet. Same comes. We increase bet on Opposite by 1, decrease bet on Same by 1. Difference is 2. We bet 2 units on Opposite. Same comes again. We lose. We are down by 2 units.
We decrease the bet on Same by 1 unit, increase bet on Opposite by 1 unit, the difference now becomes 4 units. We bet 4 units on Opposite. Opposite wins 4 units. We are ahead by 2 units.
Since Opposite won, we decrease its bet by 1 unit, we increase the bet on Same by 1 unit, since it lost. The difference now is 2 units between Same and Opposite. We bet 2 units on Opposite. Opposite comes (for the second time). We gain 2 more units, thus we are ahead by 4 units having Same coming twice and also Opposite winning twice.
Now, we will demonstrate that no matter at which sequence the sames and opposites appear, the closer their number is, the more units we profit.
We can have, for instance, 5 Sames followed by 5 Opposites. This will gain us 10 units. We could have 3 Sames followed by 2 Opposites, then 4 Sames followed by 5 Opposites, we will gain 14 units, Sames and Opposites having shown up 7 times each.
As the game progresses, it's hard to keep track of the difference of Sames and Opposites. That's why a good method is to keep a count of the two and calculate the difference of the counts of the Sames and Opposites each time. Whichever number is greater, i.e. 7 Opposites and 4 Sames, we bet on that side, 3 units on Opposites (7-4) for this case.
Here is a concrete example of a full Baccarat shoe:
Since we don't know until the second decision of the shoe, if it's going to be the same as last or opposite of last, we don't place any bets until the second decision. And, as mentioned earlier, the second decision is a virtual bet by placing the same amount on Banker and Player, thus we place no bets either.
At Hand 1 we get a P (Player) decision (that we merely observe) and at Hand 2, we get a B (Banker) decision (where our bet was virtual, since the difference of the bets was 0). Getting a B, we determine that this is on O (opposite) of last decision. We mark the O under the column Same Opposite. Since Opposite won, we decrease its bet by 1 unit and increase the bet on Same by 1 unit. This is easily done by having the initial virtual bets set to 1000. Thus when we deduct 1 from 1000 (on Opposite), it becomes 999 and when we add 1 to 1000 (on Same), it becomes 1001, yielding the difference of 2 that will go next on Same.
Also note the columns Count Sames and Count Opposites keep the count of each side. This doesn't help us bet, but tells us our profitability potential when the difference between those two counts, provided in column: Difference, starts getting low (or close to each other).
We bet only according to the difference between the units on Bet Same and Bet Opposite, where the initial 1000 figure is either decremented or incremented by 1, where it makes it easy just to subtract the smaller number from the larger one and bet next on the side, which has the larger figure.
So a 2 unit bet goes on Same next. Same means the same as last decision. Since we had a B at Hand 2, we bet B at Hand 3. But a P comes and we lose the bet, shown on columns Bet on, Bet (amount), Win/Lose, Cash, Net respectively.
Getting a P at Hand 3 means that Opposite won again. We mark it with on O. We decrease the bet on O (opposite) by 1, increase the bet on S (same), adding 1 to 1001 to yield 1002 and subtracting 1 from 999 to yield 998, thus the difference becomes 1002 - 998 or 4 units, that will go on S (same) again.
In order to bet S (same), we bet the same as last decision, which was a P. So we place a 4 unit bet on S and P indeed comes and Same wins. Since P wins, there are no commissions, thus we break even for now on our net balance.
Since Same won, we decrease its bet by 1 and increase the bet by 1 on Opposite, calculate the difference and bet next according to the chart, depending on which figure is higher.
If you keep observing the above table at the example, you will see the the difference of the counts between Sames and Opposites becomes close, such as 2 at Hand 15 and we can see that our net balance also jumps to +5.8 units taking 5% Banker win commissions into account.
Also note that when the counts are exactly the same (0 difference) such as at Hand 34, our Net balance becomes +27 units and our virtual bet figures also become 1000 each on the next bet, their difference being 0, meaning that the next bet will be a No Bet (at Hand 36). And again, depending on the side that wins (Opposite or Same), we will bet according to the difference of the Bet Next Difference column.
As you can see, now the Opposite side is the one which gets the higher figure and thus the bet.
Now, a bit of advice on some money management techniques about the system.
It's not always that the counts of sames and opposites will come very close. If the difference drifts apart, it's good to set a loss limit of say 50 units.
Similarly, it's also good to set a profit goal per shoe. This can be determined based on how the counts of Sames and Opposites are doing. If they drift slightly apart and then they come back close together again, it's good to terminate the shoe, when one is positive. One has not obligation to stay until the end of the shoe. If the counts become, say, 11 Opposites and 10 Sames, it's a very good time to quit the shoe.
Also any time you are up between 10-20 units for a shoe, it's a good time to leave the shoe and keep your profits.
Another advice for not having to bet high amounts: As you can see, the difference is always a multiple of 2. If your table minimum is say $20, you can always set your unit value at $10, thus betting 2 units will meet the table's minimum requirement and you will be using half the size of the bankroll.
Some mini-Bac tables show electronic scoreboards. Scrolling to the right horizontally, they show the change from a Banker to Player decision and vice versa, which gives us a count of the Opposites. Going down vertically, they show the repetitions of Banker and Player decisions, which gives us the count of the Sames. Just for fun, before you join a shoe, simply observe those boards and count each repetition and alternations, to give yourself a good idea on how the system has been doing. You will see many instances that the count will be close and profits high.
I hope you liked this system. Wishing you lots of fun and profits with it.
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