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==============================================   Tuesday, November 16, 2010

The Spread System

(If this newsletter is truncated for any reason, please access it from the web at: http://www.letstalkwinning.com/winalert_November16_2010.htm)

Dear Let's Talk Winning customers and newsletter subscribers, 

As promised, here is this month's free gambling system.  I called it the Spread system and you will soon see why.  It's a very nice system, requiring a low bankroll and highest bet never 16 units more (not 16 times more, but 16 units more) than your initial bet amount.  That is, if your initial bet is 5 units, the highest bet ever will be 21.

You will be able to use the system for all even bets in Baccarat, Roulette, Craps, Sic-Bo,  and even for Dozens and Columns in Roulette. 

I will provide you links for the results spreadsheets, which are totally automated, thus making the system quite mechanical. 

Our goal is to make 1000 units and quit.  For the 600 Zumma Baccarat shoes, this is achieved within 131 shoes, taking Banker win commissions into account. 

In fact, I will explain the system first for Baccarat, where we place bets on Banker and Player, where Banker wins are due to 5% commission by the casino.

Let's start with the bet selection.  This is a bet selection I haven't used before in any other of my systems and it seems to be very effective.

I'm simply betting on the opposite decision of 4 decisions ago. 

For instance if you have the decision sequence:  B P B B P, now we will bet P, then B, then P, etc.

Why is that and why 4?

First of all, if you have a streak of a certain decision, either P or B and that streak changes into a streak of the opposite side, you will catch a lot of wins.

Alternately, on a choppy table, if you have alternating P's and B's, such as P B P B P  B P B P B, etc., betting the opposite of 4 decisions ago will catch all chops as wins. 

Also, numerous patterns of 4 are asymmetrical, that is, they are the mirror image of themselves. They will also be caught as wins.

Moreover, tests show that this bet selection is more profitable than some others tried. 

As per the bet method, we will start by betting 5 units.  Now, this does not mean that you need to bet 5 times the table's minimum.  In fact, if the table's minimum is $25, your unit value can be as low as $5.  Thus betting 5 units of your own will place a $25 bet on the table.  Similarly, if the table's minimum is $5, your unit size will be $1. 

5 units will be the smallest amount you will be betting in the Spread System. 

If you win your bet, great, you just made 5 units and you place next again another 5 unit bet.

If you lose your bet, you will spread the lost 5 units over the next 5 bets.  So, your next bet will be 6 units.  We will call the 5 unit bet, as the base bet and all other spread units as additional bets.  Within your 6 units bet, you have the 5 unit base bet and one additional bet of 1 unit spread from the previous loss.

The best way to see this is by the following chart (the first Zumma shoe), where you create one column for the base bet and some 20 additional columns for the spread bets.  Yes, we make over 50 units in this one shoe!

If you win one of the bets, then there is nothing to spread.  You continue on your next bet, where the chart shows how much by adding all the columns of the base bet and the additional spread bets spread from previous losses.

Shoe Hand Decision Bet on W/L Base Bet AB1 AB2 AB3 AB4 AB5 AB6 AB7 AB8 AB9 AB10 AB11 AB12 AB13 AB14 AB15 AB16 AB17 AB18 AB19 AB20 Total Bet Cash Net
1 1 B P L 5                                         5 -5 -5
1 2 B B W 5 1                                       6 5.7 0.7
1 3 B B W 5 1                                       6 5.7 6.4
1 4 B B W 5 1                                       6 5.7 12.1
1 5 P P W 5 1                                       6 6 18.1
1 6 B P L 5 1                                       6 -6 12.1
1 7 B P L 5 1                                       6 -6 6.1
1 8 B P L 5 1 1                                     7 -7 -0.9
1 9 P B L 5 1 1 1                                   8 -8 -8.9
1 10 P P W 5 1 1 1 1                                 9 9 0.1
1 11 P P W 5 1 1 1 1                                 9 9 9.1
1 12 P P W 5 1 1 1 1                                 9 9 18.1
1 13 P B L 5   1 1 1                                 8 -8 10.1
1 14 P B L 5     1 1 1                               8 -8 2.1
1 15 P B L 5     1 1 1 1                             9 -9 -6.9
1 16 B B W 5       1 1 1 1                           9 8.55 1.65
1 17 B B W 5       1 1 1 1                           9 8.55 10.2
1 18 P B L 5         1 1 1                           8 -8 2.2
1 19 B B W 5         1 1 1 1                         9 8.55 10.75
1 20 B P L 5         1 1 1 1                         9 -9 1.75
1 21 B P L 5         1 1 1 1 1                       10 -10 -8.25
1 22 P B L 5           1 1 1 1 1                     10 -10 -18.25
1 23 P P W 5             1 1 1 1 1                   10 10 -8.25
1 24 B P L 5             1 1 1 1 1                   10 -10 -18.25
1 25 B P L 5               1 1 1 1 1                 10 -10 -28.25
1 26 B B W 5               1 1 1 1 1 1               11 10.45 -17.8
1 27 B B W 5                 1 1 1 1 1               10 9.5 -8.3
1 28 P P W 5                 1 1 1 1 1               10 10 1.7
1 29 B P L 5                 1 1 1 1 1               10 -10 -8.3
1 30 P P W 5                   1 1 1 1 1             10 10 1.7
1 31 P P W 5                   1 1 1 1 1             10 10 11.7
1 32 P B L 5                     1 1 1 1             9 -9 2.7
1 33 B P L 5                       1 1 1 1           9 -9 -6.3
1 34 B B W 5                       1 1 1 1 1         10 9.5 3.2
1 35 B B W 5                         1 1 1 1         9 8.55 11.75
1 36 B B W 5                           1 1 1         8 7.6 19.35
1 37 P P W 5                           1 1 1         8 8 27.35
1 38 P P W 5                           1 1 1         8 8 35.35
1 39 B P L 5                           1 1 1         8 -8 27.35
1 40 B P L 5                             1 1 1       8 -8 19.35
1 41 P B L 5                             1 1 1 1     9 -9 10.35
1 42 B B W 5                               1 1 1 1   9 8.55 18.9
1 43 B P L 5                                 1 1 1   8 -8 10.9
1 44 P P W 5                                 1 1 1 1 9 9 19.9
1 45 P B L 5                                 1 1 1 1 9 -9 10.9
1 46 P P W 5 1                               1 1 1 1 10 10 20.9
1 47 P P W 5 1                               1 1 1 1 10 10 30.9
1 48 P B L 5 1                                 1 1 1 9 -9 21.9
1 49 B B W 5 1 1                                 1 1 9 8.55 30.45
1 50 B B W 5 1 1                                 1 1 9 8.55 39
1 51 B B W 5 1 1                                   1 8 7.6 46.6
1 52 P B L 5 1 1                                     7 -7 39.6
1 53 B P L 5 1 1 1                                   8 -8 31.6
1 54 P P W 5 1 1 1 1                                 9 9 40.6
1 55 P P W 5   1 1 1                                 8 8 48.6
1 56 P B L 5   1 1 1                                 8 -8 40.6
1 57 B P L 5   1 1 1 1                               9 -9 31.6
1 58 B B W 5     1 1 1 1                             9 8.55 40.15
1 59 B B W 5     1 1 1 1                             9 8.55 48.7
1 60 P B L 5       1 1 1                             8 -8 40.7
1 61 B P L 5       1 1 1 1                           9 -9 31.7
1 62 B P L 5         1 1 1 1                         9 -9 22.7
1 63 P P W 5         1 1 1 1 1                       10 10 32.7
1 64 P B L 5         1 1 1 1 1                       10 -10 22.7
1 65 P P W 5           1 1 1 1 1                     10 10 32.7
1 66 P P W 5           1 1 1 1 1                     10 10 42.7
1 67 B B W 5             1 1 1 1                     9 8.55 51.25
1 68 P B L 5             1 1 1 1                     9 -9 42.25
1 69 B B W 5               1 1 1 1                   9 8.55 50.8
1 70 B B W 5               1 1 1 1                   9 8.55 59.35
1 71 B P L 5                 1 1 1                   8 -8 51.35

Since our first bet can start only at Hand 6 of the shoe, for the very first Hand, we will place anything we want, such as P (this is for illustration purpose, to see how a loss amount will be spread) and the for next 4 decisions, just follow the last. 

After having 4 decisions, then you can start betting on the opposite decision of what was at Hand 1 for Hand 6 and on the opposite decision of what was at Hand 2 for Hand 7, etc.

Thus, the first loss of 5 units have 1 unit distributed over the next 5 bets (Hands 2 to 6), as illustrated in the chart, in the column AB1, which stands for additional bet 1.

The four wins of Hands 2 - 5, do not spread any units.

At Hand 6, we bet 5 units on P, which is the opposite of B of Hand 1.  Since B comes up, we lose that bet.  Again we spread five 1 units over the next 5 bets.  They are written in column AB1. 

At Hand 7, we bet 6 units on P, which is the opposite of B of Hand 2.  Since B comes up again, we lost that bet, too.  Since we lost 6 units, we now spread six 1 units over the next 6 bets and write them in column AB2.  Every time, we write the spread units in a new column.  The total bet is the sum of all units written in that particular row of that decision counted across.

Counting all spread units from left to write, we place an 8 unit bet at Hand 9, since we have 5 units as a base bet and three 1 unit columns from previous losses ( 5 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8).  Losing this bet, we now distribute (or spread) 8 units over the next 8 bets, and so on.

Hand 10 is a win and counting all base plus additional 1 unit bet, we had to place a 9 unit bet. 

Hand 11 is also a win and also was betting 9 units.  So is the case at Hand 12.

Now, you can see the power of this system.  Within the 4 bets of Hands 6 - 9, we were betting 6, 6, 7, 8 units respectively and they were all losses, where we lose 6 + 6 + 7 + 8 = 27 units.  Then we have 3 wins of 9 units, which recovers those 27 lost units, thus 4 losses are recovered within 3 wins. 

When we lose our bets consecutively, we seem to add 1 unit for the next bet and when the wins follow the losses, we are betting higher amounts because of the spread units from previous losses, thus recovering the losses and making profits on top of that in a very gradual pace and without escalating our bets to high levels. 

Also, as we keep winning, we eliminate the spread units and thus our bets start getting even lower approaching our base bet of 5 units.

As you can see in the chart, when we complete the last column of additional 1 unit bets (AB20), we wrap around and start writing our spread units at the first column (AB1). The columns never overlap, thus our maximum bet never exceeds 21 units, having 5 units as a base unit and 16 units spread across.

The link for the entire chart, where 1000 units are made is at: http://www.letstalkwinning.com/Spread-System-First-1000-Units.xls

You must be wondering what happens after that.  Well, our goal was to make 1000 units and to stop.  If you do continue betting, you will see that your profits will rise and go down a bit.  It will even go all the way to 1100 units and drop back to 1000.  The recommendation is to lock your profit at 1000 units and never give them back.  Besides, this is not the kind of system that will make you lose your entire bankroll as a result of a bad run, giving back to the casino all the hard earned profits you made so far, as it does not have a steep progression requiring a large session bankroll. 

You will see in the spreadsheet, that the base bet of 5 units is made into a parameter, that is, you can change its value by plugging any other base bet of say 3 units or 8 units in cell BJ2 and see how the results change and how the spreadsheet automatically adjusts itself to new base values.

Placing a 3 unit base bet and losing it means you need to spread 3 units over the next 3 bets.

Placing an 8 unit base bet and losing it means you need to spread 8 units over the next 8 bets, and so on.

With a 3 unit base bet, one makes 562.5 units over the same amount of shoes (131).

With an 8 unit base bet, one makes 1568 units over the same amount of shoes (131).  All this including commissions, which are calculated for you in the chart. 

To apply the system for Roulette or for Craps has exactly the same structure.  You bet on the opposite of the decision that took place 4 decisions ago and apply the same spread method. 

An interesting variation is to apply the system for dozens in roulette.  I used the bet selection avant dernier, that is bet on the same dozen as previous to last.  Base bet being 3 units, the following chart shows you the Spread System's performance.  Use profit locking at 100 units:

Spin Number Dozen Bet on Dozen W/L Base Bet AB1 AB2 AB3 AB4 AB5 AB6 AB7 AB8 AB9 AB10 AB11 AB12 AB13 AB14 AB15 AB16 AB17 AB18 AB19 AB20 Total Bet Cash Net
1 13 2 1 L 3                                         3 -3 -3
2 9 1 2 L 3 1                                       4 -4 -7
3 22 2 2 W 3 1 1                                     5 10 3
4 32 3 1 L 3 1 1                                     5 -5 -2
5 2 1 2 L 3   1 1                                   5 -5 -7
6 6 1 3 L 3   1 1 1                                 6 -6 -13
7 13 2 1 L 3     1 1 1                               6 -6 -19
8 6 1 1 W 3     1 1 1 1                             7 14 -5
9 21 2 2 W 3     1 1 1 1                             7 14 9
10 18 2 1 L 3       1 1 1                             6 -6 3
11 15 2 2 W 3         1 1 1                           6 12 15
12 24 2 2 W 3         1 1 1                           6 12 27
13 18 2 2 W 3           1 1                           5 10 37
14 21 2 2 W 3             1                           4 8 45
15 32 3 2 L 3             1                           4 -4 41
16 9 1 2 L 3             1 1                         5 -5 36
17 34 3 3 W 3               1 1                       5 10 46
18 3 1 1 W 3               1 1                       5 10 56
19 32 3 3 W 3               1 1                       5 10 66
20 5 1 1 W 3                 1                       4 8 74
21 26 3 3 W 3                 1                       4 8 82
22 19 2 1 L 3