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June 4, 2013
Frequently Asked Questions on
IHG - Izak's Holy Grail
Dear Let's Talk Winning subscribers, customers,
My new system IHG
- Izak's Holy Grail, announced last week was received with tremendous
enthusiasm. After all, 3000 units made in live play per year for 12
years is not anything one could not consider.
I was flooded with emails and
questions and I'd like to summarize my answers for you within this FAQ
First a general comment from a loyal
"Well, I just read about it and
certainly will buy it for $95. The graph looks sensational, I have never
seen anything like it. And, I like very much two of Izak's latest systems
DAS and Trigger System. I am
currently working on a system using my six grid and DAS betting the w/l
registry FLD (follow last decision).
Note the lack of huge drawdown in the Holy Grail. This is really
unprecedented in my experience. Now, my glowing review is before reading the
system, so without doubt it is premature. Sometimes great expectations are
met with great disappointment, but for $95, there is hardly any downside. I
see buying systems as buying information, so there is no loser. I have
almost all of Izak's systems, and have learned a lot from them."
And another one:
"If you already have Izak's other
systems then you will surely be getting the best of the best. I note the
highest bet is 88 units in the Zumma test and average profit is six units
Now your questions and their
Q: What kind of buy in do you need
to be placing 88 bets? Do you need pen and paper?
A: 88 units were placed only once
during the entire 500 shoes. For this a session bankroll of 171 units were
required. The remaining time, highest bets hardly exceed 22 units.
One does not need pen and paper. Very simple arithmetic is used for the
Q: The question is not the buy-in
but how often it happens and would you be able to place an 88 unit bet?
A: 88 units was the extreme case and
happened only once. Typically one closes a profitable run with bets not
exceeding about 22 units tops.
I assume that you obviously won the 88-unit bet and closed the run at that
point or shortly after that. What would you have done if you lost the above
If 171 units is a session bankroll, how much is LIFETIME bankroll?
Most Bac tables I see these days have a $25 minimum, thus 171 units would
require over $4,000... a little steep by still feasible.
In my opinion, a Holy Grail would look something like this:
Max bet = 10 units
Lifetime BR = 200 units max
Average profit = 2-3 unit/shoe
In fact, I would rather profit 2-3 units/shoe with a 10-unit max bet than
risk a 22-unit bet (which according to your description would sometimes
escalate to 45 units) and average 6 units/shoe.
After all, whether you bet 88, 45, 22 or "measly 10 units," your chances of
winning that particular bet are still 50/50.
How about running another simulation with the aforementioned "perfect,
albeit subjective" parameters? ;)
Thank you, Izak
A: The 88 unit bet is placed only
once and not before Shoe 436 Hand 21 (for whoever has the MS-Excel
simulation of the Zumma 1K shoes first half of 500 shoes.
And yes, that bet was won. The net balance goes from +3028.50 to +3039.25
for that particular run. If that bet was not won, then the net balance would
go to +2863.35 instead, not too terrible at that stage of profit. The run
would end, in any event, whether the bet was won or not and we would reset
and start a new fresh run right after.
Yes, the chances of winning each bet is almost 50/50. That's why we need to
come up with smart, creative and efficient systems, such as IHG, in order
not to break even at the end of 500 shoes or a year's live play. With the
maximum bet set to 10 units, IHG breaks even, so we need to have a bit more
bankroll to reach the 3600 unit profit level. After all, we are competing
against an institution with an unlimited bankroll and table limits, not to
mention the built-in house edge designed to make players lose on the long
The 171 units were the total drawdown for the entire 500 shoe set. I
consider it as the lifetime bankroll.
Q: Are bets carried over to the next
A: Yes, the shoes are carried over
from the end of one shoe to the beginning of the next shoe without
interruption. If you want to end your daily session, you can do so any
time, once you close a run.
Q: Is the six units per shoe gross
or net profit?
A: It's net average profit,
Q: Will this newest work, make more
profits or much less when playing "Dragon Baccarat"?
There are lots of Casinos offering this now.
A: I couldn't tell, as I haven't
tested that option or variation of Baccarat.
Q: Izak, in your 12 years of
playing IHG, about how many times, or perhaps, once per how many shoes, were
you unable to close the run and had to accept a loss on that particular run?
A: Here are the stats for the live
performance of IHG.
The abandoned run costs about 100 units in average. Its frequency of
occurrence is about once in every 10 shoes.
Within a year's play this happens about 53 times, or about once a week.
This matches also the chart I provided for the sample 500 shoes. The peeks
of the graph show the abandoned runs. You can count about 50 of them.
Playing 500 shoes a year, this makes about 42 shoes a month or about 10
shoes per week in average. Without an abandoned run, IHG would profit 162
units per week. With the once a week -100 unit run, this amounts to 62 units
per week. Having played 10 shoes a week, the average profit remains 6.2
units per shoe.
Q: If max bet is 45 why are you
betting 88? What is win if you adhere to 45 and 23 unit max bets and absorb
A: The 45 unit is the set limit. If
within a run, one places, say a 42 unit bet, the 45 units max bet has not
yet been reached. If the system dictates the betting of higher than 45 for
the next bet to be placed, one places that bet. Winning or losing that bet
closes the run. The highest it went was 88.
Q: How many total units are you out
(minus) for this or any shoe when you place the 45 unit bet?
A: Around the 45 unit bet level, one
could be out by about 60-70 units.
Q: Well that's in the neighborhood
of $2700 or so, Now two shoes like this one back to back would put a guy
down over $5400 or so. Am I missing something?
A: That depends on your unit size.
In any event, IHG tries to prevent back to back losses with its smart
parameters and nemesis handling routines. The average profit of 6.2 units
per shoe for live play remains unaffected.
My casino has both, live and machine/automated Baccarat games. The
minimum for the former is $25 and for the latter is $10.
Live games tend to be extremely slow, i.e. it takes nearly two hours to deal
a shoe. On the contrary, machine games are approximately two to three times
faster. Using 6 units/shoe as an average profit, should produce roughly the
same per hour result for both options: 25x6/2hrs = $75, and 10x6/0.8 hrs. =
$75. The main advantage is of course, is lower max bet and consequently
lower initial bankroll. Have you played the IHG in automated or online games
and were you results comparable to playing it in live games?
A: Yes, in the last 12 years, I have
used IHG in all sorts of environments: real live play, real dealers and
electronic screens, mechanical no dealer wheels and electronic screens, etc.
The odds do not change, but only, as you say, the speed and unit size.
Q: Can you please give the results
for the Zumma 600 and the 501-1000 shoes of the Zumma 1000?
A: I, personally, couldn't care much
if IHG beats all Zumma shoes, after obtaining 3000 units profit per year for
12 consecutive years in live play. Each year about 500 shoes were played,
much more valuable than a fixed tester book, isn't it?
I still went and tested IHG against all Zumma shoes upon your request.
Yes, the same parameters beat the entire 1K set and makes more than 4000
units overall for the 1000 shoes.
For the 600 shoe set, IHG requires a larger bankroll, is good for 1-500
range tables and profits up to 8000 units.
Even if a larger bankroll was
required for the 600 shoe set, I would still not use a larger bet than the
88 units, thus a session buy in of 171 units.
If we had used the same parameters also for the 600 shoe set, then the
entire 1600 shoes would still generate a profit of 1100 units in total,
which answers the question about the research of finding a system beating
the entire set using identical parameters.
Even in live play 3000 units per year is the average profit, meaning that
one year IHG could generate 5000 units and another year just 1000. What
counts is that in 12 years it has generated a total of 36,000 units, thus
3000 average per year, despite any fluctuations from year to year.
So a final executive summary would be: IHG beats all tester books (1600
shoes) with a profit of 1100 units and makes 36,000 units in 500 X 12 = 6000
live shoes, all using the same parameters (max bet 90 and others), thus a
grand total of 37,100 units in 7600 shoes in tester books and live play
combined, quite a Holy Grail.
This averages 4.88 units per shoe in average for all environments.
7600 shoes are half a million decisions, sufficiently long term, I presume.
Thanking you all for your great
interest, questions and feedback.
IHG goes only for $95
delivered to you by email with its 500 shoe sample simulation. $5
extra if you need a printout shipped to your address.
Your satisfaction is
guaranteed. If not, you can have a full refund
totally unconditionally within 30 days of your purchase, no strings attached,
no questions asked.
here to order.
you all the best.
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