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=================================================== Monday,
January 21, 2013 Dear Let's Talk Winning subscribers, customers, friends, I hope you had a great holiday season and are starting the new year with strong resolutions. One of my resolutions is one I have every year: to keep my customers satisfied. To that effect, I would like to start the first newsletter of the new year with a free system, that you will enjoy greatly. I do get lots of winning ideas. Some of them are initiated by clients. One customer has asked me to build a system on the following idea: when we observe Baccarat tables, we see lots of occurrences of single P's or B's or double P'S or B's or even triple P's and B's. In fact the total number of those occurrences exceed any other event. How we can we take advantage of those situations? Indeed we can. And I will expand further on the idea and take advantage of long streaks at the same time. With single P's it is meant that a P (Player) decision is followed immediately by a B (Banker decision) and it is singled out during the sequence, such as B B B P B B, the middle P being a single P. With a double P, we mean that P has repeated only once. Thus a sequence of the nature: B B B P P B contains a double P in the middle. Triple P's are the three consecutive appearances of the P decision, such as in: B B P P P B. Anything further than that (four and more P's) would be a streak of P's. And while taking advantage of the single, double or triple occurrences of a P decision, it would be a pity not to take gain of long streaks of P, such as B B B P P P P P P P P B, (8 P's in a row), so we will. This SDT system will show you how you can make a lot of units, by simply betting that a P decision will stay either single, or double, or triple or will go into a long streak of continuous P's. Of course, the same argument goes for single, double, or triple B's, but we will focus on the P side only for clarity and simplicity. Here is the way the system goes: If we want to make a unit when we have a single P, all we need to do is to bet 1 unit on B, after a P shows up. So any sequence of BBB P BBB P BBB, where we have single P's, we will make 1 unit profit minus the 5% commission on the Banker win or 0.95 units. We simply wait for the occurrence of a P decision and we place 1 unit on Banker. If we win this bet, we are ahead by 0.95 units and we wait for the next occurrence of a P. If we lose this bet, we are down 1 unit. Losing this bet means that the P decision has repeated, such as B B B P P. The system wants to take advantage of double P's, too. So, after we see two P's in a row, having lost the first bet, we place 2 units on B, hoping that the double P will remain double and won't go into a triple P. If we win this 2 unit bet on B, we pay 5% commission on the 2 unit bet, gain 2 X 0.95 units or 1.9 minus the 1 unit we lost on the previous bet, thus we are ahead by .9 units. Thus we can say that any double P will generate .9 units. Great! What if we lose this 2 unit bet on B. We would be down by 3 units. This also means that the P decision has repeated again forming a triple P (PPP). Our system wants to make profits on triple P's as well. So, now we place a 6 unit bet on B. If we win this bet, we would pay 5% commission on the 6 units on the Banker decision win, gaining 6 X 0.95 or 5.7 units minus the 3 units we lost previously or a total gain of 2.7 units. Thus SDT will generate 2.7 units on each occurrence of a triple P. So far, so good? Just for fun, open any tester book and see the occurrences of single, double and triple P's and count gained units: .95 for each single P, .9 for each double P and 2.7 for each triple P. What if our 6 unit bet loses? This means we got a quadruple P (PPPP). And our loss so far is 9 units. Our system looks at any occurrence further than 3 P's as a streak, that we now want to take advantage of. So if we get 4 P's in a row, we no longer bet B. We bet P, as we want the streak to continue. And since we will be betting P from now on, we no longer pay commissions, either. After 4 P's we will be betting P only and flat 9 units each time. This way, we will recover the loss of the 9 units we had so far and will start piling up 9 units on each new P that forms the streak of P's. So after 4 P's we bet 9 units on P. If we win that bet, we recover the 9 unit loss. If we lose that bet, meaning that a PPPP B has occurred, we lose another 9 units on top of our 9 unit loss. Thus we can say, that each time we have a quadruple P followed by a B, we will be down by 18 units. And that's the lowest we can ever get in our sequence. 5 P's followed by a B will make us win the 9 unit bet on the 5th P, but lose 9 units on the B that follows it. Thus the sequence of 5 P's will be looked at -9 units. We will break even on a six P occurrence, as the 6th P will be ahead by 9 units, but followed by a losing B of 9 units will bring us to 0. So we need a streak of at least seven P's for us to start accumulating multiple 9 unit gains. 7 P's followed by a B will gain us 9 units. 8 P's followed by a B will gain us 18 units. 9 P's followed by a B will gain us 27 units, etc. The following table summarizes all the above possibilities: Table 1:
So, there are only 2 instances that we lose some units (4 P's followed by a B = -18 units and 5 P's followed by a B = -9 units) and ALL the other events we gain units, taking full advantage of single, double and triple P's and longer streaks of P's. Here is an example to illustrate SDT, first 4 shoes of a randomly generated decision sequence. Example 1:
We keep track of the number of occurrences of P and we note them down on the column Count P. When this count is 4, such as at Shoe 4, Hand 21, we lose 18 units. When this count is 5, such as at Shoe 3, Hand 15, we lose 9 units. For all other counts of P, we gain units. At the end of four shoes, we are up by +62.25 units, averaging more than 15 units per shoe, commissions included, using the P side only, your bets never exceeding 9 units tops. I left the count for B for you on the Example 1. You can do that as an exercise and use SDT on the B side as well, keeping the same progression table: 1, 2, 6, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9.... Your commissions calculations will be different than for the P side. Since you're betting P for the first 3 stages, when you win your bet, there will be no commissions, thus your profit will be pure 1, 1, 3 units respectively. Only when you go on a streak of B's, you will pay commissions on your 9 units. Two 600 random shoe simulations are also provided to you at: http://www.letstalkwinning.com/SDT-600-Random-Shoes.txt http://www.letstalkwinning.com/SDT-600-Random-Shoes-2.txt I hope you liked SDT. Wishing
you all the best.
www.letstalkwinning.com
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