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================================================    Tuesday, February 15, 2005
 
Review of The Ideal System for All Even Bets and FAQ

Hello everyone,

Thank you all for your great interest in my Ideal System for All Even Bets announced last week.  The system aroused many questions and you will find the answers to the frequently asked questions within this newsletter.

Before that, I would like to present you the review of one customer who was asked for a third party evaluation of the system by the forum members and here is Oen's review:

"The following is my review of the IDEAL SYSTEM.

Its use of positive progressions rather negative progressions …

You have to change your mindset from playing negative progression (up as your lose) to positive progression (up as you win). A negative progression is used to recover your past losses and can be very expensive. Not to mention that with a negative progression, once your bet gets too high, you will have to have the nerve to place higher bets and worse if you lose them.  A classic example is the 6 step Martingale or double-up strategy: 1-2-4-8-16-32 (63 units in total). If you lose 7 times in a row, you end up losing 63 units. 7 losses in a row is not a rare case.  You have surely seen R or B showing up 20 times or more in a row.

It is a different story when you use a positive progression. You start only 1 unit and stay 1 unit when you lose. You increase your bet only if you won the last bet, which meant that you place 1 unit plus what you have won from previous bet. You will last much longer when you use a positive progression. When you enjoy playing casino games or gambling is your hobby and you intend to stay the longest possible at the casino, then positive progression should be your choice to play.

THE IDEAL SYSTEM is strongly positive!

Go with the streaks rather against them …

Another mindset you have to build in your mind is that once you have a wining streak in your hand, never try to play against this streak.  You have to play with the streak until you LOSE ONLY ONCE. And this is very important!. No matter how many units or how high your bet will be, you have to place for the next bet.  And remember that it is the casino money you have won from previous stages.  What a wonderful day for you if you encounter streak of 20 or more Rs or Bs in a row. “See what I have told you that you should not bet against it”. You will hear someone babbling behind you. “Oh, how could I know that it was be going like this, 20 Rs in a row” (He/she was betting Black or course) You blame yourself. Now you will ask yourself: "How do I know that this streak will happen?"  It is not very difficult to answer: BET BOTH SIDES.

THE IDEAL SYSTEM can be played on one side and on both sides as well.

Bet selection is insignificant ….

Bet selection is insignificant (I have once discussed with Scott in regards to the significance of a bet selection, I must agree with him up to now that no matter how you select you bet, you will encounter loses and wins. It means that no matter how the bet selection is constructed, there will be times you will encounter winning and losing streaks. Streaks can be 1,2,3,4,…. (streak of 1 is also called single). Otherwise you can prove that the bet selection is significant).

As far as THE IDEAL SYSTEM is concerned, it is independent on bet selection. You could choose any bet selections you want as reference. I may recommend that you should choose the bet selection, which produces a long losing streak. You may say that it would be same as difficult as to choose a long winning streak. Try to experiment several bet selections and search for an IDEAL BET SELECTION.

The progression rules THE IDEAL SYSTEM.

Use several bet selections rather only one …

THE IDEAL SYSTEM proposes that you can place bets on different areas: R/B, O/E and H/L. I might suggest that you could also use several bet selections on one area such as both sides (R and B), Follow The Last decision and opposite of Follow The Last decision, Decision Before Last decision and opposite of Decision Before Last decision. There is one problem when you are playing with several bet selections, which is time consuming to record the decisions.

Small bankroll and big bankroll …

THE IDEAL SYSTEM can be applied for small bankroll and for big bankroll as well. If you have a big bankroll, you can bet large amount of money per unit, on the other hand, if you have small bankroll, then you can play with small amount of money per unit.

THE IDEAL SYSTEM is a consistent winner!!! …

Your profits will be escalated once you encounter a winning streak. When you play and play, your profit waves negative and positive, then it is the time to take a break or change table. Losses can be well controlled at the level of your choice. The system is so transparent that you know when you will win and when you lose.

I have seen many players, how they gamble and how they handle the strategies or systems. It is too often that they lose once or twice with the system, they tend to judge the system for bad. They win small but lose big amount of money due to the negative progression.

Consistent usage of a system is recommendable. Do not change systems while you are losing only one or two times. When a system does not work today, then you could take a break, change table or go home and try it on another day. How many players can do this? Many of players will continue to play until they lose their last penny. Sadly and I feel sorry for them.

Another aspect of using a system is the discipline. Once you decide to use some sort of system, then you should strictly follow the rules and do not deviate from them.

When you reach your win or loss target at any point of time, then you should stop. Taka a break, change table or leave the casino and go home. It is because the small bankroll requirement to use THE IDEAL SYSTEM and you may use small amount of money per unit for the start and if you increase the amount of money per unit only when you have a series of losses. For example 1 unit = 5$, 1 unit = 10$, 1 unit=15$, 1 unit=20$ and 1 unit=25$ and you can play it in a team too.

You can use THE IDEAL SYSTEM by using the strategy outlined above. You could use the simulator come with THE IDEAL SYSTEM to test your permanencies easily and all codes are available and provided. You can copy and paste the code onto your spreadsheet, modify a little bit and run it, as easily as that. Actually you can do the test of 72 days of Zumma Baccarat shoes on your own. I will continue testing THE IDEAL SYSTEM on a daily basis by using it on real land based casino soon.

Thanks.
OPT"

I thank Oen for his excellent review and appreciate his time and effort in testing the system further.

Now, here are your frequently asked questions answered:

Q: Izak, could you give us some more information about this system?

A: Certainly! This is not a grind system, like Superior Roulette, IBS or FRS, where one aims for 1 unit gain at the end of the winning run.

This is quite a different strategy. One plays with low risk and a small bankroll. One run does not end at the end of 5-6 bets. Initially, wins and losses fluctuate around a mid-point. Losing streaks are handled with a very minimal loss. And when a winning streak arrives and it surely does, then profits really escalate and the win target of +10 units is easily reached. That's when the session ends. That could take between 20-40 spins. And one can play as many session as one feels like. There is no daily limit, only a session target.

Q: Izak,

Thanks for your response.  Tough room!  Could you please give some stats on the option of playing both sides? Any data on games played and win/loss details would be helpful.

A: Yes, of course,

Here are some typical results for betting on both sides:

- betting on Red: -5 units
- betting on Black: +17 units
- betting on both Black and Red: +14 units

so not only the -5 losing session disappears, but comes up to more profits than playing Red+Black separately.

another session:

- betting on Red: -38 units
- betting on Black: +12 units
- betting on Black and Red: -4 units

so, the -38 unit loss is reduced to -4 unit loss

another session:

- betting on Red: +21 units
- betting on Black: +3 units
- betting on Red and Black: +28 units

the result is more than the profits of both sides combined.

By the way, betting on both sides is the extra bonus system. The win target of +10 units is for the base system only, not for the bonus system. The bonus system is open ended in profits. A loss limit of 40 units still applies.

Q: Excuse me, but am I right in saying that this system makes one unit an hour over 100 sessions and you have an 18% chance of losing 40 units.  Anybody out there want to step up to a wheel buy forty $25 chips and have a 1:5.5 chance of losing it ? Maybe more consideration needs to be given.

A: True, but since there are no negative progressions, your unit is not $1, where you need to have 500 units to come up ahead.

Bets are normally quasi flat, so you can use black or purple chips to make your one unit an hour average rate. So you can make at least $100 an hour.

Also, please note that sessions end at +10 units. Again, playing with black chips, you will finish many sessions at +$1000.

The 1 unit an hour is the average win taking all losing sessions into account.

So if you play 100 sessions, you will have 82 sessions winning $1000 each, that is profiting $82,000 versus losing 18 sessions at -$4000 or -$72,000. Your net profit is $10,000 for 100 hours of play. If one plays 5 hours a day, one can make $10,000 in 20 days. A monthly salary of $10,000 is like $120,000 a year. Not bad as a side income.

Q: In your result post above, I was wondering if you could mention how many reds occurred versus the number of blacks. I.e. in sample one, there were 10 reds and 12 blacks. These stats I think would be of interest to obtain.

Thank you Izak for your great services and quick responses!

A: The number of reds and blacks may cause different results if they appear in different sequences even if you have the same quantity of reds from one session to another.

Nevertheless, please find the answers next to your questions below. You will notice that sometimes, the number of blacks and reds is very similar from one session to another, but the session results are quite different. This is due on when the reds and blacks show up and at which order.

- betting on Red: -5 units
- betting on Black: +17 units
- betting on both Black and Red: +14 units

- betting on Red: -38 units
- betting on Black: +12 units
- betting on Black and Red: -4 units

There were 41 Reds and 31 Blacks.

- betting on Red: +21 units
- betting on Black: +3 units
- betting on Red and Black: +28 units

There were 38 Reds and 34 Blacks

Q: Izak,

Does the length of the time played with the Ideal System affect the win/loss ratio?  I.e. play 1 session for 1 hour a day (approximately) or until I win 5 unit/$10 units or 2 units/$25 units or 1 unit/$100 units.

2nd question: does playing the both sides bonus system win more often and what are the ratios of wins to losses?  Could a lower loss limit be used and could you post say 100 sessions, so we can see what an average group of session looks like resultwise?

Regards,

A: The provided figures are long run averages. You can reach your +10 unit target either within 5 spins or 25 spins, depending on the circumstances. Or you could win 3 units in 1 spin or 1 unit in 10 spins. That depends on the outcome. This is the case with the base systems.

Playing both sides definitely wins more often. That's the extra bonus system. There is no session win target of +10 units. You only set a loss limit of -40 units, should that be not your day. Otherwise, your winnings are open ended. A long run simulation shows that you may lose 40 units once every time you reach +100 units. You simply play continuously or take a break every time you are ahead by 60 units (100-40).

You could use a lower loss limit, but then you are not providing the system sufficient drawdown before it reaches the inevitable and eventual win streak. So you can no longer ensure the previously stated win/loss ratio.

Q: Would you mind giving us a brief example of the results or verification that the results shown in roulette are comparable to what one could expect playing baccarat as well? I presume it matters not whether one enters a shoe at the beginning or the end for the efficacy of the system?

A: That's correct. One can enter any game any time, as previous results don't mean anything for this system. It's really bet selection independent. The idea behind it is that any bet selection can have losing streaks and winning streaks and the system handles them both very efficiently. That is also why the results obtained for any even money bet area between Roulette's Red/Black/Even/Odd/High/Low, Craps' Don't Pass Line/Pass Line, Baccarat's Player/Banker and Sic-Bo's Big/Small, applying the Ideal system, are very comparable. One needs only to observe wins versus losses. And since there are no high betting amounts, even commissions in Banker wins in Baccarat don't make much of a difference.

Q: How many units per shoe in baccarat does it win on the average? Have you tested it n the Zumma 600 baccarat book?

A:  You play until you win +10 units. And it’s easy to achieve them within a shoe. I have not tested in the Zumma 600 Baccarat book, but in thousands of simulations.

Q:  Do we bet on every hand?

A: Yes, you bet on every single bet.

Q: You mentioned that it has nothing to do with bet selection. Does this mean we bet only one side, like only banker only. Is this a money management system?

A: Yes, you can bet on the Banker side or the Player side, and there is a technique (the extra bonus system) to bet on both sides, or you can use your preferred bet selection. It’s mostly a money management system, but it does tell you how much to bet on each bet and when to leave. You can start at any point within the shoe and play until you reach your win target.

Q: Izak,

I read your newsletter regarding the Ideal System and was quite impressed. There are a few questions which I have listed below. You have touched on some questions, but not in depth. Thanks.

1. What is the win/loss ratio for playing both sides? What is the required bankroll for session/short term play? For lifetime play? What is the highest drawdown experienced in testing/playing for short term and long term? What is the average/estimated unit win per hour for short term play ( 5 to 20 hours )? What is the average/estimated unit win per hour for long term play based on your testing/playing stats?

Izak, you are the mathematician, so please expound on short term vs long term averages. The difference can be huge. While it is nice to know the performance and average stats for a few hundred thousand decisions, the player needs to know and focus on the short term results and expectation..........so that he can survive and live to play another day!!!!!!

2. You have provided win/loss averages and average win per hour for your base system, but these stats appear to be based on hundreds of thousands of decisions. Please provide short term stats/averages for largest drawdown and worst scenario for back to back losses during short term testing/playing. ( 5 to 20 hours )

A: Here are the answers:

1. I think I have answered the win/loss ratio for playing both sides already. For every 100 unit gain, you may expect a 40 unit loss. The bankroll required for the session is 40 units and a 120 unit lifetime bankroll is sufficient to give the system a chance should it fail 3 times back to back, which is extremely unlikely. The highest drawdown cannot exceed -40 units, as this is when you stop playing for the session. For short term play, you can estimate 17 units per hour. For long term, taking all -40 unit loss limits into account, you can estimate a 7 unit per hour profit for the extra bonus system playing on both sides simultaneously. Those are the short and long term differences.

2. For the base system, I never had more than 2 back to back losing sessions, thus -80 units was the worse case scenario. On the long run, over a few hundreds of thousands of spins, one could have 3 back to back losing sessions, costing -40 units each. However, one should be up by far more than 120 units not to suffer from those losses.

Q: Izak,

Thanks for your quick response and answers to my questions. You did not , however, comment on the importance of short term vs long term averages/stats when playing systems. Refer to my second paragraph. Thanks.

A: It is indeed a strong point, the differences between short term play and long term.

I have addressed it within a previous answer, to the question which pointed out that on the long term the system generates 1 unit profit per hour, which doesn't seem to be much. And that is only an average for thousands of sessions.

However, on the short run, we are aiming for +10 units sessions, that are easily accomplished within one hour play.

As per statistics for short term, I am able to have at least 3 regular +10 sessions per day profiting 30 units per day, whereas I lose -40 units only once per week and I stop playing for the day when that happens. Under this mode of money management, I am able to make 30 X 5 = 150 units -40 = 110 units per week playing with $50 units, when I play 5 days per week.

Q: Online or real casino, is it suited for both ?

A: Yes, and it makes no difference for the performance of the systems.

Q: Just a couple of questions. Can the extra bonus system handle a severely chopping game without losing? Do you need a scorecard to track your bets? Does consistent betting on both sides cause problems with casino personnel? Thanks.

A: If the table chops on every color, i.e. R B R B, you make about 2 units per spin. If the table goes 2-2, i.e. R R B B R R B B, you lose a little but not much, just a couple of units or so. You would need a scorecard in order to apply the system properly on both sides. With the experience, you can hold the results in memory, as all you need to know is if you won once or twice or lost once or twice in the last 2 bets.

You never bet on two different sides at the same time. You simulate the betting on both sides. But in reality, you are betting on the side that requires the higher bet, and nothing on the side with the lower bet. For instance, if you need to bet say 7 units on Red and 4 units on Black, betting 7 units on Red and 4 units on Black will make you lose 11 units should a zero come up. That’s why you place an equivalent bet of 3 units on Red, and nothing on Black, which yields an identical result to betting on both sides. So this can never be a problem with casino personnel.

The price of this great system is $80 only.  Your satisfaction is guaranteed.  If you're not happy with the way the system performs, you can return it within 30 days of your purchase with a full refund.

Click here to order.  $5 will be charged extra, if you wish to have a printout.

Thank you,
Izak Matatya

Wishing you all the best,
Until next week,
Izak

Use the Ideal System for All Even Bets at Windows Casino

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